Before COVID-19, real estate was a booming industry with good fundamentals, rental activity, and robust leverage ratios. There is no reasonable doubt that COVID-19 has stalled most, if not all, development in the sector. Real estate has seen fluctuations with impacts experienced globally, largely contingent on the area and asset class.
For instance, in India, real estate comes second to agriculture in job opportunistic. Real estate contributes up to 8% to the country’s GDP and focuses up to 13% by 2025. However, COVID-19 has slowly reduced its expectations by cutting down on its revenue, but hope came when their finance Minister introduced interest deductions and tax provisions for affordable housing.
Globally, there are reductions in retail footprint as emerging new trends occur like; A focus on social justice, health, and wellness, as reported by PWC. As the impacts continue, Deloitte reveals that real estate executives have put forward various concerns such as, safety for tenants and visitors through an adjustment in cleaning measures and adhering to government agency requirements.
So, let us look at various hits and misses that real estate has undergone.
Misses
Over the years, emerging trends in the real estate industry have been observed. These include working remotely thanks to the continuous rise in e-commerce, and de-urbanization. Then came the pandemic increasing the pace and the trends meant to occur in years to happening in just weeks, or even days.
Upon discussion by Byron Carlock, PWC’s real estate leader, real estate clients kept mentioning:
- Deficits in rents.
- Financing defies.
- Disturbance insecurity as major misses currently befalling the real estate industry.
Rental Pay Miss out on a Massive Scale
With only a worsening situation, real estate clients are experiencing hard times in prioritizing their bills. Renters are missing out on months rent payment. Dow Jones Institutional News reported one-third of US residential renters missing out on their April payments.
Real estate firms and Real Estate Investment Trust in India, for instance, are still huddling with a somehow narrow budget that didn’t address significant offers such as setting up a single GST rate. GST rates would be applicable for affordable and unaffordable fragments. Currently, GST rates at 18% continue to burden realtors as they cause misses in the real estate industry.
Tight Financial Markets
Realtors are experiencing cumulative burdens from the unpredictability of the financial market. As some are already in cash predicaments, property values continue to decrease. Loan rates remain high hindering equity investment and disabling developers to refinance arrears.
Though REITs must distribute 90% of realtors’ taxable income, some realtors are luring to conserve cash and limit distribution calling tax status into question leading to most misses in the real estate sector.
Upset in Securitization Market
New challenges continue to rise as real estate firms squeeze other market forces. Setbacks on real estate securities are broadening despite numerous actions like by the Feds in the US. Proactiveness should be an upfront gesture to address this concern.
Hits
Demand recoversÂ
The pandemic caused enormous drops in home sales. Though, there is a marked hit during the end of the spring and in the approach of summer. Clients likely to buy houses added more effort in their housing search and purchase actions towards the end of May last year.
In April, incomplete sales lower than 30% in the metro areas of the United States rose by 30% in August, reports Michigan Survey of Consumers. Further, online and social distant viewing has helped home viewing listings which has hit highly surpassing viewings before COVID-19.
Good Buys and Low Rates
Surprisingly, buying conditions are improving likewise to a year before the pandemic. Availability of goods and low interest rates are now the trending hits of why individuals are venturing into real estate. The trends are contrary to prosperity and a good investment as quoted by clients a year ago.
Also, according to a Conference Board Survey in August, the ratio of clients planning to purchase a home in six months remains the same as compared to statistics of a year back. However, it’s unclear how long clients will continue buying houses owing to the same reasons.
With the continuous spread in C0VID-19 cases worldwide, uncertainties in the real estate industry still remain. The industry is counting major misses than hits. Its leaders are facing critical times in decision making. Therefore, it’s only by taking steps by the leaders to seek government help that the real estate will stand up for the long run.